Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Stock market crash is temporary - Ye Tan's blog - the focus of blog
Opaque market in a big feature of the prophet and more paranoid, shouted the stock market fell 300 points to the collapse of the stock market rose 300 points that those who shout a few million points upside. That prophet always reminds me of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait led to the global stock market crash, a famous short Roach of Morgan Stanley took a deep breath, The same is true down, bear the brunt of the policy. Although more and more regulators to issue risk warning, but we can not ignore the fundamental level, the positive factors, such as financial work conference on the proportion of direct financing has repeatedly stressed, and the seventh largest the proposed increase citizen property income, if the law higher law and lower law, then the policy there are also upper and lower position of the points, officials can not be in China's economic development and capital market development in the critical moment,Discount UGG boots, get rid of capital market development that a prerequisite. Only a clear understanding of this point, we will be ignorant of the trend, the transient drop in the stock market as a sign of China's economic overhaul. China's capital market development in the situation? have a set of data can provide information on .2007 half a year, inside and outside of the company by issuing shares, convertible bonds financing the total 252.63 billion yuan, accounting for direct financing 7.79% of total new financing. whether for the needs of the state-owned enterprise reform,bailey UGG boots, the need to save financial institutions, or establishment of a multi-level capital market, China's capital market will become bigger and will not shrink. Of course, this does not mean the stock will rise at all. At present the three major factors that affect China's stock market are: U.S. subprime crisis expanded,Bailey UGG boots, leading to increased risk of a U.S. recession, Fed rate cut October 30 is expected to surge; imminent launch of China's stock index futures, short the stock market have a greater impact; Another possibility is that monetary policy, the RMB exchange rate floating range may expand . U.S. subprime impact of expansion,UGG boots clearance, those interested in subordinated debt of banks have been unable to hide losses in the financial statements, the bank took over the property in 2006 increased 42%, 55% in the first half of this year, mostly sub-prime mortgage property . In the great U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson brokered the original is now keen to suffer the three major U.S. banks Citigroup, Bank of America and JP Morgan announced the formation of a so-called ; Capital Fund GDP fell by 1%, China's exports will decrease 6.8%, GDP fell 1.5%, coupled with the impact of macro-control, China is expected to be lower than this year, next year GDP data, there are only 8.5% of organizations expect, this is too pessimistic, but the United States economic slowdown, the decline in exports of China in September is the fact that most agencies lowered China's GDP growth next year. This shows that China's economic momentum is no longer hoisting. this will affect the performance of the stock market. However, China's GDP growth is not low at 8%, otherwise it will create employment and a series of social pressure. The Chinese monetary policy can not change much during the year 27 basis point interest rate increase the probability of large exchange rate in the case of China, interest rates and to maintain the status quo rate matching, otherwise the internal and external purchasing power of money are significant differences between the actual depreciation of the currency in the country, rising purchasing power abroad, will make the money pouring out. It should be noted that the financial crisis have occurred in developing countries, central banks, the rapid move up the domestic When the interest rate, concomitant to the devaluation of the currency is the arrival of a turning point. The International Monetary Fund Managing Director Rodrigo Rato warned that the dollar could plunge suffered shaken investor confidence in U.S. assets, at a turning point. severe impact of the global economy, while forcing China disk access. specific to the stock market is concerned, the greatest impact should be the introduction of stock index futures, index means that the stock market in recent footsteps rules of the game will change with the chips. Although the long-term stock index futures violent movements will be ironed look, but in the short term, it brings the inevitable volatility, warrants whirlpool still in front of small stock investors should avoid its edge is on, especially those related to the broader market in Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index shares. Only do more weapons and can do more short footed profit institutions Roubo, like sword fighting with machine guns, hands full.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment